Research article

Scotland

Last year Scotland experienced encouraging take-up which has tightened supply to an all-time low. With no sign of speculative development we will continue to rely heavily on the Build-to-Suit market to satisfy occupational demand

▲ 5 Wardpark Road

Supply

■ The supply of warehouse space in Scotland for units over 100,000 sq ft has fallen by 38% in 2017 and now stands at 1.24m sq ft across the Central Belt.

■ This is made up of nine separate units of which all bar one are between 100,000 and 200,000 sq ft, with the average size being 137,953 sq ft.

■ All of the units currently on the market are second hand, aside from the Vertex unit at Eurocentral which has been vacant since reaching practical completion in late 2011.

■ The largest unit on the market in Scotland at present is Bathgate M8/J3a in West Lothian which totals 240,966 sq ft.

Figure 24

FIGURE 24Supply by Grade

Source: Savills Research

Figure 25

FIGURE 25Supply by size

Source: Savills Research

Take-up

■ After a slow start, take-up for units over 100,000 sq ft reached 748,763 sq ft across four separate deals.

■ This represents a fall of over 1 million sq ft from the record 1.78m sq ft achieved in 2016 but is 7% above the long-term average.

■ The largest deal of the year was at Wardpark Industrial Estate where logistics company John Russell Transport purchased a 263,000 sq ft unit.

■ All units transacted in the region in 2017 were for secondhand units, and we expect this trend to continue given the current supply dynamics.

Figure 26

FIGURE 26Take-up

Source: Savills Research

Development Pipeline

■ There are no units under construction speculatively over 100,000 sq ft in Scotland meaning we do not expect vacancy rates to fluctuate in the medium term.

■ With a number of occupiers recently choosing to build their own units, such as Lidl, and other occupiers searching for land to construct their own units, the demand and supply case for future development remains strong.

Table 8

TABLE 8Key stats

 

Other articles within this publication

11 other article(s) in this publication