Savills News

Savills index reveals Helsinki, Copenhagen and Stockholm are best placed to manage extreme urban heat in coming decades

Extreme heat, droughts, or floods will become more frequent, and the ability of cities to prepare for these climate changes will play an important role. In terms of heat, the top three cities in the new Savills Heat Resilience Index are Helsinki, Copenhagen and Stockholm. Index assesses 30 global cities best prepared to deal with extreme urban heat. Here, extreme temperatures and days over 30°C are rare, while progressive policy around ESG helps to mitigate the effects of extreme weather on their populations. In the comprehensive Heat Index, Prague was not evaluated. However, according to statistics from the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, there were a total of 26 days in Prague in 2023 (station Prague-Vinohrady) where the temperature exceeded 30° C, placing Prague among the "cooler" cities.

The Index reveals that half of the top 10 ranked cities are in Europe, but even these cities may face risk as heatwaves are especially dangerous in places where buildings are not designed for extreme temperatures. Conversely, cities that regularly experience days over 30°C may be more adapted to hot weather, through extensive use of air conditioning. 

Ilona Zusková, Head of the Meteorology and Climatology Department at the Prague branch of the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, says:"Based on the linear trend over the 30-year period from 1994 to 2023 at the historical Klementinum station in the centre of Prague, the average annual temperature is increasing by 0.6 °C per decade. The temperature here is influenced by the heat island of the city. In the Czech Republic, during the same period, the temperature is increasing by 0.5°C. The number of days with temperatures above 30 °C increases by 4 days per year at the Klementinum station during this period. In 2023, there were 27 such days recorded at Klementinum."

Jan Jurčíček, Head of Building & Project Consultancy at Savills, adds: "As a result of the heat wave phenomenon, property owners face two specific challenges. The first is the transitional risk of ensuring that properties are adapted to cope with climate change and aligning energy consumption with future legislation. The second challenge is compliance with the so-called EU taxonomy, which sets, among other things, the rules for climate adaptation. Non-compliance with the taxonomy could, in the future, make properties difficult to finance and trade."

According to data from the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, the official temperature extreme in Prague is 39.7 °C, recorded on 20 August 2012, at the Prague-Karlov station. The extreme at the Klementinum station is 37.8 °C, recorded on 27 July 1983. In 2023, the temperature in Prague exceeded 30 °C a total of 26 times, and the average annual air temperature in 2023 was 11.9 °C. Both of these values were measured at the Prague-Vinohrady station, which is the most suitable of the Prague stations for reporting temperature data, as it uses standard measurements, is located in the centre, and is situated above a grassy area.

“Urban heat should be considered by authorities when planning large regeneration schemes, especially where they involve densifying as this can intensify urban heat, and it is existing local communities that may be impacted most. Higher land values facing parks and water bodies often result in a concentration of taller buildings. This can form a ‘wall’ effect, hindering the dissipation of cooler air deeper into the urban environment. The solution lies in having a mix of building heights and permeability in the streetscape,” closes Chris Cummings, Director, Savills Earth.

Read the full article here.

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