For the past 25 years there has been a 10 to 1 ratio between overall market transactions and private housing delivery, which appears to have held firm despite recent policy interventions.
Housing delivery is inexorably tied to market demand at a price point dictated by underlying costs, including materials, labour and land. The Mortgage Market Review will also continue to restrict the availability of mortgage debt and, in turn, the market’s ability to return to pre-crunch levels of turnover.
As a result, it is necessary to look to other models and tenures to boost delivery.
The need to build affordable housing may be a barrier to some private delivery, particularly in areas with lower house prices in which construction costs take up a larger proportion of gross development value.
Affordable housing could play an important role in providing a solution, but it needs to be supported through policy: either by central funding or increasing the potential for Housing Associations and Local Authorities to borrow more against existing stock to allow them to build more homes.