Source: Savills Research
The first quarter of 2017 has been driven by smaller deals
Market Snapshot
■ Take-up in Q1 2017 reached 208,233 sq ft, which is 3% up on the first quarter long-term average take-up of 196,000 sq ft. Manchester is on track to exceed one million sq ft by year end.
■ The largest city centre deal during Q1 2017 was to TravelJigsaw Ltd, who took 22,196 sq ft of refurbished space at 42–44 Fountain Street.
GRAPH 1Take-up by quarter
■ The business and consumer services sector was the most active sector during the first quarter of the year, accounting for over a third of take-up at 39%, followed by the insurance and financial sector (13%).
■ Like 2016, the first quarter of 2017 has been driven by a high proportion of smaller deals. Deals under 3,000 sq ft accounted for 40% of take-up, above the five-year average of 20%.
■ Availability of city centre Grade A space rose by 6%, which was accounted for by 8 First Street coming onto the market, and is set to reach practical completion during October 2017.
■ We expect several large Grade A deals to complete by the end of the second quarter, which will see Grade A supply fall. There will then only be around one year of Grade A supply remaining in the market.
■ With a number of Grade B refurbishments coming to the market, Grade B supply has risen by 8% in the first quarter of the year.
GRAPH 2Availability
Source: Savills Research
■ The top rent achieved in the first quarter was £32.50 per sq ft at 82 King Street to Arbuthnot Latham on 4,078 sq ft of space.
■ Looking forward, Savills expect top rents to reach £35 per sq ft by the end of 2017. We also expect a rise in average rents as refurbished space is delivered to the market. There is now a £4 gap between top refurbishments and new builds in Manchester, the biggest gap of all the regional cities.
GRAPH 3Top rents
Source: Savills Research
■ Office investment in Manchester reached £114m at the end of the first quarter of 2017, 10% down on the first quarter long-term average.
■ Significant deals included the Zenith Building purchased by AM Alpha for £23m and 201 Deansgate purchased by Essex County Council (Aviva) for £29m.
■ The UK institutions were the dominant investor type in the first quarter of 2017, making up 38% of the market.
■ However, we expect overseas investment to remain the key contributor through 2017, as investors continue to take advantage of weak sterling.
GRAPH 4Office investment by quarter
Source: Property Data
■ Prime yields currently stand at 5% where we expect them to remain for the second half of the year.
■ Aside from the prime end of the market, there remains strong investment demand for lot sizes from £5m to £50m with asset management potential.
■ Lack of stock will be the big issue this year. There will be a number of parties who would like to sell but with limited opportunities to re-buy, may end up stalling.
TABLE 1Significant Occupational Deals in Q1 2017