Savills

Publication

Tokyo Residential Leasing Q3/2023

Rents continue to see modest growth

Fundamentals for the Tokyo market remain sound with continued positive net-migration.

  • Average rents in the Tokyo 23 wards (23W) increased slightly by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) to JPY4,039 per sq m, despite a 0.3% year-on-year (YoY) decrease.
  • Rents in the central five wards (C5W) witnessed a moderate uptick, increasing 1.6% QoQ to JPY4,877 per sq m, and a yearly increase of 0.4%.
  • The C5W rental premium over the 23W average is 19.6%, and has been higher than pre-pandemic levels since 2022.
  • Chuo saw the largest quarterly rental increment of 3.7% QoQ, while Shinjuku saw the largest rental correction of 1.9% QoQ. Overall, the market appears to be stable.
  • The smallest 15-30 sq m size band saw the largest rental increment at 1.6% over the quarter, although the 45-60 sq m size band maintains a notable premium.
  • Average occupancy rates in the 23W increased by 0.4 percentage points (ppts) QoQ to 97.0%, while the C5W increased by 0.3ppts QoQ to 96.6%.
  • Over the past decade, there has been a notable shift in preferences towards renting over buying condominiums, stemming primarily from rising condominium prices, changing mindsets, as well as the greater presence of institutional investors.

Average rents in the 23W have increased slightly over the past quarter but experienced a mild dip on a yearly basis. Net-migration into the 23W has remained positive, and has surpassed pre-pandemic levels due to significant contributions from foreign nationals. Meanwhile, rental growth in the C5W remains stronger.

Savills Research & Consultancy