Savills

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Tokyo Residential Leasing Q1/2024

Further improvements moving into 2024

Strong growth experienced in the Tokyo 23W, with further improvements likely in 2024.

  • Average rents in the Tokyo 23 wards (23W) increased notably by 4.1% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) and 5.2% year-on-year (YoY) to JPY4,237 per sq m.
  • Rents in the central five wards (C5W) increased in tandem by 2.2% QoQ and 4.4% YoY to JPY5,027 per sq m.
  • The C5W rental premium over the 23W average decreased moderately to 18.6%.
  • In the C5W, Chuo and Shinjuku saw the most significant quarterly increases of 3.8% QoQ and 2.8% QoQ, respectively. Overall, yearly growth among all wards in the C5W has been strong.
  • Average rents for smaller units in the C5W in the 15-30 sq m size band increased at the largest rate, by 2.3% QoQ.
  • Average occupancy rates in the 23W increased by 0.2 percentage points (ppts) QoQ to 97.2%, and rose marginally by 0.1ppts on an annual basis. Meanwhile, occupancy in the C5W remained unchanged QoQ at 96.9%.
  • In Greater Tokyo, record-high condominium prices have forced many residents to seek more affordable options in the rental market. This has also likely contributed to the strong rental increments seen over the quarter.

The 23W market kept posting strong quarterly rental growth in Q1/2024. This was supported by positive quarterly net migration, particularly by the foreign population, which continues to increase unabated. Domestic migration is also likely to fare well during this spring moving season. Meanwhile, demand for rental units will continue to be bolstered by those priced out of buying condominiums.

Savills Research & Consultancy