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What will increased income tax exposure mean for private landlords?

The increased income tax exposure announced in the Budget is likely to accelerate change in the profile of private landlords. 

A two percentage point increase in income tax on investment income is likely to disproportionately affect smaller, mortgaged buy-to-let (BTL) landlords; not least given the restricted tax reliefs available to them.

By putting a tighter squeeze on income after tax, it will further test their resolve at a time when they are facing up to changes coming from the Renters’ Rights Act

Accordingly, it is likely to add weight to the restructuring of the sector towards larger, more yield-conscious landlords. The sector has already seen an elevated number of exits; the total number of outstanding BTL mortgages reduced by nearly 115,000 between the 2022 ‘Mini-Budget’ and March 2025 (-5.6%) as the rate of BTL mortgage redemptions has outpaced new lending. As smaller landlords increasingly leave the sector, tenants are more exposed to the risk of a shortage of available rental stock. By contrast, larger landlords are more likely to absorb the increased taxation, especially where they have the option to incorporate.

2.2 million tax payers affected

We know that in 2023-24 some 2,863,000 individuals or partnerships declared property income on their tax return. Collectively they declared gross income of £55.53bn and deductible expenses of £29.08bn. That means their net income was £26.45bn before tax, at an average of £9,243.

And based on previous years’ data, we estimate that, of the 2,863,000 who declared property income in 2023-24, about 2,213,000 were taxpayers. By our calculations, if they are paying tax at the higher rate, they would see their “effective tax rate” go from 46.8% to 48.8%, given existing restrictions on the tax relief available to them.

Unevenly distributed

However, based on data from HMRC, that increased tax burden would be unevenly distributed across this group. The greatest pressure is likely to be felt by landlords that generate less than £10,000 gross rental income per year. We estimate that the average net rental income for those in this group would fall to just over £2,300 once the tax change is introduced. 

With profitability becoming increasingly marginal, coupled with the strengthened regulation of the sector that will limit the potential for in-tenancy rental growth, we could see an increasing number of these small-scale landlords assessing their positions. New entrants, meanwhile, may put greater emphasis on structuring their lettings investments efficiently.

 

Further information

Contact Lucian Cook

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