The Tokyo office market has stabilised, but the large volume of incoming supply may threaten this equilibrium.
- Rental corrections have been mild and indicate that the market is moving towards greater stability in 2023. Meanwhile, vacancy rates remain low overall.
- Average Grade A office rents in the C5W decreased by 0.5% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) to JPY32,386 per tsubo per month, falling 1.3% year-on-year (YoY).
- The average Grade A office vacancy rate in the C5W tightened by 0.4 percentage points (ppts) QoQ and 0.5 ppts YoY to 2.6%.
- Average large-scale Grade B office rents remained stable over the quarter at JPY24,490 per tsubo per month, translating to a decline of 0.6% YoY.
- Vacancy rates in the Grade B market tightened slightly by 0.3ppts over the quarter to 3.8%.
- A large amount of new office supply will enter the market in 2023 and 2025, but office completions will be relatively limited in 2024 and 2026, which should give the market some time to absorb the large supply.