Savills

Publication

Investment Brief Dec 2022

Investor caution as end-users hold back

Transactions of land and commercial properties have dropped by over 20% in the fi rst three quarters

  • The Taiwan Central Bank announced a rise in the base rate by 0.125 percentage points (ppts) to 1.625% in Septemberand has raised rates a total of 0.5 ppts so far this year.
  • Total transaction volumes fell by 25% YoY to NT$35.2 billion in Q3/2022 and have fallen by 20% YoY to NT$105.2 billion over the fi rst three quarters of the year.
  • Several large-scale industrial sites sold by the government helped total land transaction volumes in Q3/2022 reach NT$60.8 billion, up by 132% QoQ and down by 11% YoY.
  • Factories and industrial factories accounted for 74% of deals in Q3/2022 as higher rental yields attracted buyer interest.
  • Insurance companies are the most active buyers and invested a total of NT$39.3 billion in commercial properties which exceeded last year’s total.
  • Developers turned cautious on residential land acquisition with total investment amounts dropping by nearly 50% YoY over the fi rst three quarters of 2022.

The Central Bank is expected to raise interest rates but slowly to maintain economic growth and the stability of the real estate market. However, the upcoming election, the risk of economic recession and increasing loan costs are reducing market activity.

Erin Ting, Savills Research