Savills

Publication

Hong Kong Industrial Sales & Leasing - Jan 2023

Investment interest softens

The anticipated border reopening will bring much-needed breathing space to local logistics operators.

  • The first eleven months saw both local air freight and container throughputs continue to decline, with local 3PLs bearing the brunt.
  • With most operators struggling, landlords were more flexible in rental negotiations, leading to overall and modern warehouse rental declines of 1.0% and 1.5% in Q4/2022 respectively, while both overall and modern warehouse vacancy rates remained largely stable at 1.9% and 1.3% over the same quarter.
  • Investment interest softened with continued interest rate hikes, though experienced investors and end users are still purchasing selectively.
  • Looking ahead, the timing of the border reopening and the speed of supply chain recovery will be key to any logistics demand revival.
  • With interest rate hikes likely to ease, the new norm of a high cost of capital (5%+ for commercial loans) and changing government policies will likely alter the purchaser profile for industrial assets in 2023.

Investment interest has softened alongside rate hikes, though experienced investors and end users are still purchasing selectively.  Looking ahead, the timing and nature of the border reopening and the speed of supply chain recovery will be key to a logistics demand revival, while a supply overhang could blunt a 2023 recovery.

Simon Smith, Savills Research & Consultancy