Savills

Publication

Tokyo Residential Leasing Q2/2022

Rental growth pauses

Probably on the road to recovery, but recovery to pre-pandemic levels will likely vary by submarket.

  • This quarter, average rents in the Tokyo 23W decreased 0.2% QoQ to JPY3,985 per sq m, although they remain 0.5% higher than a year ago.
  • Rents in the C5W stayed flat over the quarter at JPY4,786 per sq m, translating to a yearly increment of 2.5%. The C5W was the only submarket that did not see a quarterly decline in rents.
  • The C5W premium grew significantly to 20.0%, up 1.9ppts from last year, exceeding the pre-pandemic level.
  • Shibuya posted the largest gain on a quarterly basis of 1.7%, also seeing an annual increment of 5.1%. However, much of this growth was due to the addition of brand-new buildings that came out this quarter.
  • Rents of different sizes in the C5W submarket saw diverging trends this quarter.
  • The average occupancy rate in the 23W decreased 0.9ppts from the previous quarter to 95.9%. The East submarket experienced the largest contraction at 1.3ppts QoQ.
  • The South submarket remains a popular destination for young crowds to migrate to, replacing demand from young families that have tended to move further afield.

After sound growth in previous quarters, average rents have stagnated across the 23W, with the C5W staying flat. Many young crowds have moved to Tokyo this quarter while the population remains below the pre-pandemic peak, suggesting that demand might take some time to recover. The recovery to pre-pandemic levels is likely to vary by submarket. 

Savills Research & Consultancy