Savills

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Tokyo Office Leasing Q2/2021

Market softening proves stubborn

Amid the continued deterioration of the office market, there is hope that the accelerated vaccine rollout could be the catalyst for post-pandemic recovery.

  • Whilst the lingering changes to workstyles introduced by COVID-19 are slowly being understood, it continues to weigh on office rents in the central five wards (C5W).
  • Average Grade A office market rents in the C5W fell 1.7% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) and 7.1% year-on-year (YoY), and now stand at JPY35,157 per tsubo per month.
  • The average Grade A office vacancy rate in the C5W increased by 0.6 percentage points (ppts) QoQ to 1.8% in Q2/2021.
  • Average large-scale Grade B office rents declined to JPY26,765 per tsubo per month – a contraction of 1.9% QoQ and 6.6% YoY.
  • The average vacancy rate in the Grade B market loosened by 0.5ppts QoQ and 2.0ppts YoY to 2.7%.
  • Although there are mounting concerns over the emergence of secondary vacancy from 2020, encouragingly, most new supply expected this year has been filled or pre-leased. With 2022 supply expected to be limited, the market should have time to recuperate before the large influx the year after.
  • Despite the continued stability of prime real estate in central locations, rental corrections observed in poorly located and older offices have weakened the overall office market.

Non-prime areas have led the overall market contraction this quarter despite the continued stability of prime assets. Even so, with hopes that the expedited vaccine rollout will fuel the recovery in corporate performance later this year, things should look brighter for the office market. Furthermore, limited supply until late 2022 will provide some breathing space.

Savills Research & Consultancy
Map 1

GRAPH 1 | Office Rents And Vacancy In Tokyo’s C5W*, 2011 to Q2/2021