Savills

Publication

Hong Kong Retail Leasing - Jan 2021

A grim 2020 draws to a close

A raft of poor economic data alongside travel restrictions meant a muted end to the year and a much more pragmatic attitude from landlords.  

  • The rate of decline in retail sales slowed further in October during the fourth wave of COVID-19.
  • F&B continues to take up space as landlords are keen to sign up crowd-pulling concepts to support footfall in major malls. Beyond F&B, market activity remains very low.
  • Shopping centre landlords are now reconciled to market conditions and becoming more flexible in both asking rents and lease terms.
  • Amidst a sluggish leasing market, both prime street shop rents and base rents of major shopping centres fell by -5.9% QoQ in Q4/2020. 
  • Savills forecast that rents will continue to drop by 2% to 5% in 2021, before a rebound of 5% to 10% in 2022.

While rents may continue to slip over the first half of this year, we can see some activity returning after Chinese New Year with a market turnaround likely in 2022.   

Simon Smith, Savills Research