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Tokyo Office Leasing Q1/2020

Robust office sector faces roadblock

The Grade A and B office markets both saw impressive rental growth over the year. Nevertheless, a COVID-19-induced market slowdown is likely to materialise during late-2020

  • Vacancy rates remain extremely low in the central five wards (C5W), and rents have picked up once more. That said, momentum is expected to peter out as the market grapples with the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Average rents in the C5W Grade A office market grew 1.0% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) and 7.1% year-on-year (YoY) to JPY37,759 per tsubo1 per month.
  • The average Grade A office vacancy rate in the C5W was steady over the quarter and year, holding at around 0.3% as of Q1/2020.
  • Average rents for large-scale Grade B office space rose to JPY28,558 per tsubo per month, growing by 1.3% QoQ and 6.5% YoY.
  • Like its Grade A counterpart, the average large-scale Grade B office vacancy rate saw minimal change this period, standing at 0.3%.
  • The Toranomon area is going through significant change and remains a popular location for prospective tenants. Nevertheless, the recent pressing need to work remotely could see a change in demand for office space going forward.
  • The unknown severity and longevity of the COVID-19 outbreak is anticipated to weigh on the sector. The impact of the ensuing slowdown, owever, may only be visible in late 2020, with tenant relocations taking up to six months.

Office rents saw continued growth in Q1/2020 and vacancy rates remain extremely tight. That said, this trend will likely end, or at least pause, due to the fallout from COVID-19. Airtight vacancy and advance notice requirements for relocation should, however, serve as a buffer until later this year.

Savills Research & Consultancy