Savills

Publication

Hong Kong Office and Retail Investment - Oct 2020

En-bloc commercial volumes revive

Strata-title sales have staged a muted rebound but banks’ prudent mortgage policies are hindering cash-strapped investors from re-entering the market.

  • En-bloc commercial volumes staged a modest rebound in Q3 with seven transactions registered totalling around HK$4 billion, as both local and Mainland investors returned for either high-yielding properties or older buildings with redevelopment potential.
  • Strata-title sentiment was again subdued with the third wave of COVID cases delaying the anticipated recovery in the economy as well as the commercial investment market.
  • While interest rates were at record lows, banks’ prudent mortgage policies hindered potential investors, especially the cash-strapped, or those without a long-standing banking relationship, from re-entering the market.
  • More end users were evident in the Grade A office market on Hong Kong Island but most were still looking for discounted stock, with only a few vendors facing financial difficulties willing to entertain offers. The Kowloon office market saw very few deals concluded with corporate solvency a major concern in the area.
  • While high-end retail continued to suffer, retailers in the F&B, mid-priced cosmetics and health products segments have taken up prime street shops they could never have afforded a few years ago.  Suburban retail performed well with its necessities focus, and several new investors were attracted to this segment as a result.
  • More Mainland buyers re-entered the en-bloc market, while some of them exited the stratified segment due to financial concerns.  It is still premature to predict a full-blown return of Mainland money, but the increasingly difficult investment environment elsewhere may push some of the SOEs back to Hong Kong for portfolio diversification.

The rebound in COVID cases has delayed the anticipated recovery in the commercial investment market, with the retail sector again bearing the brunt, though suburban retail continued to perform well and attracted some investment interest.

Simon Smith, Savills Research