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Tokyo Office Leasing Q4/2019

Office rents on an upward path

Rents have reached high levels following fervent growth in the C5W, especially in the Grade A market, whilst vacancy remains air-tight.

  • Against a backdrop of limited availability, competition for spacein the Grade A market was fierce in Q4/2019. Rents over both the quarter and year saw the greatest change since 2014, while vacancy remained at rock bottom.
  • Average passing rents for Grade A office space in the C5W grew 2.7% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) and 8.0% year-on-year (YoY) to JPY37,373 per tsubo1 per month.
  • The average Grade A office vacancy rate in the C5W remained at around 0.2% over the quarter in Q4/2019, while rates contracted 0.3ppts YoY.
  • Average passing rents for large-scale Grade B office space rose to JPY28,178 per tsubo per month, growing by 1.0% QoQ and 6.8% YoY.
  • The average large-scale Grade B office vacancy rate stands at 0.1% following a decline of 0.1ppts QoQ and 0.5ppts YoY.
  • Shibuya has reinvented itself as the go-to location for technology firms specialising in internet-related services, and rents in the office sector have responded accordingly.
  • Fundamentals in the office market remain strong. With most of the supply expected over the shorter term close to or already completed, rent growth should persist for now, albeit at a flat to moderate level

Rental growth in the office sector this quarter, and over the year, has been impressive, beating initial expectations. Growth should be flat to moderate going forward, however.

Savills Research & Consultancy