BIG FISH, SMALL POND
The push and pull factors for this outward investment are not hard to discern. Companies like CPI, PPF, Penta Group, J&T, HB Reavis and CTP Invest are very well capitalised, yet their home markets are too small to absorb the kinds of investment volumes these companies are looking to deploy.
A restricted supply of available assets is regarded as the main reason behind the 20 per cent decline in investment volumes in 2018 compared to the previous year. Where product does exist, it comes at high prices: prime yields in the Czech Republic across all asset classes have reached their lowest levels as the market matures to a level close to that of more economically developed countries in Western Europe.
Coming from emerging markets themselves, Czech and Slovak investors are also used to and comfortable with the levels of risk of investing in other emerging markets and markets that have fallen out of favour like Spain. In December 2018, J&T closed a transaction in which they acquired three Spanish shopping centres – Gran Casa (Zaragoza), Max Center (Vizcaya) and Valle Real (Cantabria) – for €485 million through a joint venture with Sonae Sierra. With less baggage in terms of risk mentality, they believe that successfully developing speculative buildings in the Czech Republic and Slovakia means they can transpose this knowledge and experience to other similar markets – plus they have the cash to do so.
With a good track record so far, these new global investors are a welcome addition to the global investment marketplace and a welcome ratification of the sophistication of the property markets in CEE for inbound observers and investors.