Publication

Manchester Office Market Watch – November 2016

Occupational and investment market remain strong during third quarter

Market snapshot

■ Take-up in Q3 2016 reached 266,644 sq ft, the best quarter so far this year. The total for the first three quarters of the year reached 686,172 sq ft, which is in line with the long term average for this stage in the year.

■ The key deal during Q3 2016 was to Freshfields, who took 81,000 sq ft at One New Bailey.

Take-up by quarter

GRAPH 1Lettings take-up by quarter

Source: Savills Research

■ The professional sector was the most active business sector during the first three quarters of the year, accounting for 25% of take-up, followed closely by the TMT sector (21%).

■ 2016 has been driven by a high proportion of smaller deals. Deals under 5,000 sq ft have accounted for 43% of total take-up, above the five-year average of 36%.

■ Availability of Grade A space in the city centre rose by 3% in the third quarter and we expect this to continue to tick up as new developments come on stream.

Availability

GRAPH 2Availability

Source: Savills Research

■ Looking forward, Savills expect top rents to remain around the £34 per sq ft mark, with a rise in average rents as refurbished space is delivered.

Top rents

GRAPH 3Top rents

Source: Savills Research

■ Office investment in Manchester reached £551m at the end of the third quarter of 2016, a 6% increase over the same period during 2015 and 16% above the five-year average for this stage.

■ Overseas investors accounted for the highest proportion of office investment during 2016, reaching £377m and the highest level of investment for this stage in the year since the record £442m in 2007.

■ An example of this was Deka Immobilien's acquisition of One St Peter’s Square (pictured below) via the owning joint venture vehicle from Argent and The Greater Manchester Property Venture Fund, for £164m.

■ The highly specified development was completed in September 2014 and totals circa 288,000 sq ft of Grade A space. The property is currently multilet and current tenants include KPMG, DLA Piper, Addleshaw Goddard and Mazars, along with Drake & Morgan and Fumo in the retail units.

 

Office investment

GRAPH 4Office investment

Source: Savills Research, Property Data

■ Prime yields currently stand at 5%. This marks a 25 basis points outward movement since the end of 2015.

■ Aside from the prime end of the market, there remains strong investment demand for lot sizes from £5m to £50m with asset management potential.

Significant deals in Q3 2016

TABLE 1Significant deals in Q3 2016

Source: Savills Research

One St Peter's Square, Manchester

▲ One St Peter's Square, Manchester