Muted annual price growth…
Prime London house prices have fallen by an average of -3.6% from their peak of 2014 and by substantially more in the central London markets.
By contrast, the prime regional housing markets of England, Wales and Scotland have shown headline price growth, albeit modest. Over the past year, growth has ranged from 3.6% in the outer commuter belt, between 30 and 60 minutes travel time from the capital, to just over 1.0% in the Midlands and North of England and Scotland.
…but no growth in the past quarter
No price growth was seen in the last three months, as the vote to leave the EU tempered demand. Small falls, of -0.9%, were seen in the London suburbs, reflecting the buyer caution evident in all discretionary prime markets.
Variation by property type
Importantly, these broad regional trends mask significant variations between different property types and performance in all locations is very price band dependent. On average, homes worth under £500,000 have gained 7.0% since the end of 2014, compared to falls of -2.3% for properties worth over £2m.
A more detailed look at house price growth by property size reveals far greater divergence and underscores the post credit crunch buyer preference for urban locations. Prime town and city houses, worth on average £1.3m, have risen an average 2.7% over the past year and 14.1% over the past five years. Large country houses, worth £3.5m or more, are still showing small price falls and values are -7.5% below their level five years ago.